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Friday, December 5, 2008

Euro Session: What to Expect

The economic calendar is noticeably uneventful in European hours, with German Factory Orders the only data set to print. Expectations call for orders to lose -0.5% from the preceding month, pointing to a -11.2% decline in the year to October. This will amount to the second-worst reading ever recorded for the metric and the lowest since at least 1993. Industrial output is an important part of the Euro Zone’s largest economy, contributing over 30% to overall growth. Looking ahead, manufacturing can be expected to remain under pressure: industrial goods dominate Germany’s top export commodities and sluggish economic performance around the world is sure to trim demand. That said, some stimulus may be had from continued currency depreciation, making German goods relatively cheaper for overseas buyers. DailyFX Chief Strategist Antonio Sousa expects the Euro to continue to lose value through 2009.

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