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Sunday, January 11, 2009

Euro Vulnerable to a Decline Below 1.33

The AUDUSD has reached initial resistance from the confluence of the October 14th high / 38.2% of .9856-.6005 at .7247/56. The structure of the decline on very short term intraday charts (15 min) is promising from a bear’s perspective (decline looks impulsive). Even if wave (2) is not complete, it is likely that the rally from .6005 would experience a sizeable retracement because it is in 3 waves (a flat with structure 3-3-5 could unfold). Coming under .6956 would warrant a bearish bias.

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