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Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Euro Rally Nears September Low, Which is Potential Resistance

Written by Jamie Saettele, Senior Currency Strategist

-1.3877 Should Provide Resistance
-USDJPY Risk for Bears Can be Moved to 92
-NZDUSD Rally Accelerates, AUDUSD Next?

12-16-08techs1

12-16-08techs2

The EURUSD broke above trendline resistance drawn off of the July and September highs. The pair is closing in on former resistance from October at 1.3789 and former support from the September 11 low is at 1.3877. I wrote yesterday that “staying above 1.3247 keeps the short term trend up but beware that a top of at least a few days likely forms in the 1.3631-1.3877 zone.” A corrective decline could be sharp, given the thin market conditions that are present at year-end. A move back to at least 1.3250-1.34 is probable once a correction begins.

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