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Saturday, August 1, 2009
Investing in Foreign Currencies - the Forex
The FOREX market, listed simply as "FX," is the biggest market of all. A lot of money can be gained from it - and rather quickly, too. This market deals entirely with the exchange rates between two currencies on 5 days of the week. Two currencies are always in every exchange and they are exchanged the one for the other with a buy rate and a sell rate - at the same time. For instance, if you believe that the Japanese yen is about to increase in value, then you may offer to buy it at $1.10 and sell it at $1.25 - making a possible $.15 per yen purchased. Here are a few things you need to know about how to get started in the FOREX market.
Learn The System
Trading on the FOREX is generally more difficult than the regular stock exchange. It is easier to lose money if you do not know what you are doing. In order to prepare people to learn to deal with the FOREX, though, most online brokerages have specialized software that provides training - up to about 30 days, with "free money" to use to practice until you start being able to regularly see a profit. Only then is it wise to start doing some real trading. You also need to know how to determine the state of national economies and be able to predict their fluctuations. Other online companies provide many free booklets that they will mail to you only for the asking.
Potentially Safer Investing
Since all deals with the FOREX require a broker, your money is potentially safer. Every contract made with a broker will have a clause in it that allows the broker to actually stop the transaction if they feel it is a poor investment. The primary reason for this is because you are actually using the broker's money to make the deal. When you use FOREX, you create a sort of "loan" that gives you an operating ratio of up to 100:1. This means that, for $3,000, you are actually controlling $300,000.
The FOREX is also a better investment because there cannot be any insider trading. Dealing with currencies means that the things that effect it would make national news. This kind of event would be known almost instantly around the world - and everyone has access to the same news.
Easy Liquidity
Trading in currencies occurs every single day - many trillions of dollars worth of it. Because of this feature, there is always someone who will buy or sell dollars, enabling you to have a very quick liquidity when needed.
No Fees
Brokers do not charge you a fee when you make a FOREX transaction. This enables you to be able to control even better the amount of money that you invest and it allows you to chart it a little better. Brokers make their money through the spread of what is sold, the difference between what is bid and the actual selling price.
Forex Signal Provider? Which One?
Face the fact that in currency market all is possible and there is no golden rule to follow. There are so many aspects to consider that you will need at least another head to set this puzzle together.
But do not worry there is a hope that can make it work.
Signal solutions for forex trading. People who traded forex for a long time and developed their own systems to enter and exit with profit strategies. They will share this knowledge with you for varieties of prices from usd49 to usd499 a month for those precious information. Problem is which one will suit you best. Are they scams? How do I know?
For medium advanced forex trader is almost impossible to choose proper forex signal system, which is not a scam, or at least not profitable. There is bulk of forex signals providers out there. They all offer their signal solution to trade currency with success.
Advice is that you will have to establish what type of trader are you? Do you want to trade quickly or maybe over the days or weeks? What losses can you manage and how much money you want to invest.
As long as you know al that it is a time to pick up signal trade provider.
Few things worth researching are: performance, service offered and rewievs of the signal. Search on forum for another users of the product you are interested in and ask for comment. Every profitable system should be up on collective2 with real track performance. Look for service offered. You will quickly find out that only few offer free trail-option to try signals before you pay. Demand performance evidence.
But while doing all that hard work choosing your automat forex signal system remember that you will have to totally follow it without exceptions to make most out of it. Any even small innovation may have dramatic results in your own gains.
Remember that your future profits will depend on your signal provider so calculate carefully and make smart decisions
Forex Signal Provider? Which One?
Face the fact that in currency market all is possible and there is no golden rule to follow. There are so many aspects to consider that you will need at least another head to set this puzzle together.
But do not worry there is a hope that can make it work.
Signal solutions for forex trading. People who traded forex for a long time and developed their own systems to enter and exit with profit strategies. They will share this knowledge with you for varieties of prices from usd49 to usd499 a month for those precious information. Problem is which one will suit you best. Are they scams? How do I know?
For medium advanced forex trader is almost impossible to choose proper forex signal system, which is not a scam, or at least not profitable. There is bulk of forex signals providers out there. They all offer their signal solution to trade currency with success.
Advice is that you will have to establish what type of trader are you? Do you want to trade quickly or maybe over the days or weeks? What losses can you manage and how much money you want to invest.
As long as you know al that it is a time to pick up signal trade provider.
Few things worth researching are: performance, service offered and rewievs of the signal. Search on forum for another users of the product you are interested in and ask for comment. Every profitable system should be up on collective2 with real track performance. Look for service offered. You will quickly find out that only few offer free trail-option to try signals before you pay. Demand performance evidence.
But while doing all that hard work choosing your automat forex signal system remember that you will have to totally follow it without exceptions to make most out of it. Any even small innovation may have dramatic results in your own gains.
Remember that your future profits will depend on your signal provider so calculate carefully and make smart decisions
Course on Forex Trading
Moneymaking or wealth creation is the main goal behind any trade. The opportunities in FX are boundless and it far exceeds the slim margins and picks of other markets like equity or share trading. Moreover the risk involved is also much less and to top it all forex trading can be conducted 24 hours a day. There are always buyers and sellers available, who make this trade more liquid and stable among all others. The banks too provide liquidity to investors, companies and institutions.
Just like any other financial instrument forex trading also involves a deep analysis about the fundamental and technical truths associated with the trade. Keeping in mind the general interest of traders looking forward to invest in forex, many forex trading courses are available. The main aim of this Forex Trading Course is to impart the necessary knowledge about the fundamental procedures and tips on better and professional trading policies.
Forex trading courses offer valuable information related to the impacts on global currencies, market risks, market trends etc. it not only benefits the new trader who wants to set foot on alien grounds, but also the existing investors who wish to brush up their tricks of the trade. All the aspects of the forex trading, using the latest software’s and tools are what the Forex Trading course material is comprised of. Step by step guidance on trade environments, technical analysis, risk management, trading rules, global markets, economic and market indication etc are provided along with the hands on practical guidance from the experienced tutors from all around the globe.
Many factors are to be considered before you make a decision to do Forex trading course. ‘Knowledge is power’ for all our daily diplomatic living. Knowledge on what we do and how we do, especially trading will not only enhance our business dealings but will also allow us to differentiate and track down market conditions. Managing our finance wisely will save us the fear and anxiety about our unpredictable and meek future. Forex trading courses often outline these basic business strategies in their course material.
Forex trading courses are available as online courses and also through printed books. Free tutorials and financial guidance is also provided by many web sites. Choosing a professional Forex Trading Course will provide you with details on
• The best time to trade specific currencies like Euro
• How to anticipate movements and trends in the global market
• Which pairs of currency to trade
• Best time to enter the forex market
• Market conditions and tips about efficient trading from experts
• Technical indicators
Overall a forex trading course should be a complete currency trading solution for all the queries regarding forex and its effective trading options.
Course on Forex Trading
Moneymaking or wealth creation is the main goal behind any trade. The opportunities in FX are boundless and it far exceeds the slim margins and picks of other markets like equity or share trading. Moreover the risk involved is also much less and to top it all forex trading can be conducted 24 hours a day. There are always buyers and sellers available, who make this trade more liquid and stable among all others. The banks too provide liquidity to investors, companies and institutions.
Just like any other financial instrument forex trading also involves a deep analysis about the fundamental and technical truths associated with the trade. Keeping in mind the general interest of traders looking forward to invest in forex, many forex trading courses are available. The main aim of this Forex Trading Course is to impart the necessary knowledge about the fundamental procedures and tips on better and professional trading policies.
Forex trading courses offer valuable information related to the impacts on global currencies, market risks, market trends etc. it not only benefits the new trader who wants to set foot on alien grounds, but also the existing investors who wish to brush up their tricks of the trade. All the aspects of the forex trading, using the latest software’s and tools are what the Forex Trading course material is comprised of. Step by step guidance on trade environments, technical analysis, risk management, trading rules, global markets, economic and market indication etc are provided along with the hands on practical guidance from the experienced tutors from all around the globe.
Many factors are to be considered before you make a decision to do Forex trading course. ‘Knowledge is power’ for all our daily diplomatic living. Knowledge on what we do and how we do, especially trading will not only enhance our business dealings but will also allow us to differentiate and track down market conditions. Managing our finance wisely will save us the fear and anxiety about our unpredictable and meek future. Forex trading courses often outline these basic business strategies in their course material.
Forex trading courses are available as online courses and also through printed books. Free tutorials and financial guidance is also provided by many web sites. Choosing a professional Forex Trading Course will provide you with details on
• The best time to trade specific currencies like Euro
• How to anticipate movements and trends in the global market
• Which pairs of currency to trade
• Best time to enter the forex market
• Market conditions and tips about efficient trading from experts
• Technical indicators
Overall a forex trading course should be a complete currency trading solution for all the queries regarding forex and its effective trading options.
How Does Forex News Trading Work?
In theory, the smaller Forex retail traders should have a slight advantage when it comes to capitalizing on how the news affects the markets. With immediate Internet access and a never ending stream of brokers willing to execute trades at any hour of the day, small investors should be able to buy or sell a position quicker than some large conglomerate, mutual fund, or hedge fund. The market can literally adjust in minutes to relevant news releases so investors who move quickest will be able to capitalize-in theory.
Of course, it does boil down to knowing what news is relevant and then to determine how that will affect the currency exchange rates. Even news from countries other than those in your currency pair can play a significant role in short term price corrections. For those wishing to trade in the Forex based upon news releases, there are 8 major currencies currently playing significant roles in the market, including:
1. U.S. Dollar(USD)
2. Euro(EUR)
3. British Pound(GBP)
4. Japanese Yen(JPY)
5. Canadian Dollar (CAN)
6. Australian Dollar(AUD)
7. Swiss Franc(CHF)
8. New Zealand Dollar(NZD)
Because the USD is a backer in nearly 90% of all transactions on the Forex, the release of key economic indicators from the U.S. are always important to the currency exchange rates. These data are released at regular intervals which supposedly levels the playing field between the large and small investors. In theory, they should be able to capitalize upon short term price fluctuations caused by the release of these key indicators:
1. Interest Rate Decisions by Central Banks/Financial Policy Makers
2. GDP rates
3. Balance of trade
4. Unemployment data
5. Inflation
6. Retail sales/manufacturing output
7. Business Confidence as determined by Outlook Surveys
8. Consumer Confidence Surveys
9. Manufacturing Confidence as determined by Outlook surveys
Trading on the Forex based upon news releases means capitalizing upon short term fluctuations in the market as it corrects itself. Because these corrections can happen in a matter of minutes, it is vital for this type of investor to capitalize quickly or risk jumping after the market has already adjusted for the new information. While this is theoretically possible, it is very possible that the big investors had access to the information prior to its release. If these investors have already shifted their investments accordingly, then the market will have already corrected for the news before it was released-at least partially. If that is the case, then the small investor will jump in too late and likely face a loss.
Indeed, trading upon news releases is very dangerous because it also encourages over trading-a factor known to lead to losses-especially on the Forex. This is why most Forex investors rely upon technical analysis and their trusty charts when making decisions about entry and exit points on the market!
Trading it for Bigger Profits
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Forex News - Trading it for Bigger Profits
Author: Kelly PriceToday, we have more news than ever and its delivered in the click of a mouse and many traders want to trade it and make profits - after all it's the fundamental supply and demand situation that drives forex prices...
No it isn't!
Supply and demand fundamentals are not important by themselves - it's how they are perceived that determines price.
Here is a simple equation for market movement to illustrate the above:
Supply and Demand (facts and news) + Investor Perception = Price
From the above you can see that it is investors who determine price.
We all have the same facts to look at but we don't all draw the same conclusions from what we see and this is the problem when trading news stories.
If you could win by trading the news, with today's quality of it and lightening communications, the percentage of traders who would win would be far greater but the fact is:
The same amount of people who lost in forex trading 50 years ago lose today and this statistic won't change because you can't trade news stories in isolation.
The problems with trading news stories are greater today than they have ever been.
Why?
Because we all get the information quickly and it's instantly discounted by the market, we all have the information at the same time in any corner of the globe online and no one has an advantage of getting it first before the herd.
The problem that is always present and has been since markets started trading is:
You don't know how the traders are going to view the news because their all driven by their individual motivations and emotions furthermore, the news always reflects the views of the crowd and the crowd is always wrong.
Will Rogers once said:
"I only believe what I read in the papers"
He was joking of course, but it's surprising how many people read a paper or see a view on CNBC and think they can trade it and win - they can't.
FACT:
Markets collapse and turn when they are most bullish and rally when they are most bearish - this is nothing to do with the facts but how the investors perceive them.
News stories can be used but it's not in the way you may think.
If a bullish piece of news fails to push market higher, or bearish news fails to push a market lower, then you may have a trend change at hand.
You need to check and to do this, look at a forex chart and see the technical view of price only. Here you are seeing the reality or the truth in black and white.
This gives you a detached non emotional view of price and you can decide which way to trade. Using the news in this contrary fashion is a great way to spot situations which you can time entry with your technical indicators.
There is an old saying:
" If you can hold your head, when everyone around you is losing theirs you probably haven't heard the news"
In the above instance you have - but you're not taking the view of the majority.
If you use news in the above way and combine it with forex charts to time your trading signal, then you have a powerful combination for bigger forex profits.
NEW! 2 X FREE ESSENTIAL TRADER PDFS
For free 2 x trading Pdf's, with 90 of pages of essential info and more on forex trading basics visit our website at: http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com
Article Source: ArticlesBase.com - Forex News - Trading it for Bigger Profits
Today, we have more news than ever and its delivered in the click of a mouse and many traders want to trade it and make profits - after all it's the fundamental supply and demand situation that drives forex prices...No it isn't!
Supply and demand fundamentals are not important by themselves - it's how they are perceived that determines price.
Here is a simple equation for market movement to illustrate the above:
Supply and Demand (facts and news) + Investor Perception = Price
From the above you can see that it is investors who determine price.
We all have the same facts to look at but we don't all draw the same conclusions from what we see and this is the problem when trading news stories.
If you could win by trading the news, with today's quality of it and lightening communications, the percentage of traders who would win would be far greater but the fact is:
The same amount of people who lost in forex trading 50 years ago lose today and this statistic won't change because you can't trade news stories in isolation.
The problems with trading news stories are greater today than they have ever been.
Why?
Because we all get the information quickly and it's instantly discounted by the market, we all have the information at the same time in any corner of the globe online and no one has an advantage of getting it first before the herd.
The problem that is always present and has been since markets started trading is:
You don't know how the traders are going to view the news because their all driven by their individual motivations and emotions furthermore, the news always reflects the views of the crowd and the crowd is always wrong.
Will Rogers once said:
"I only believe what I read in the papers"
He was joking of course, but it's surprising how many people read a paper or see a view on CNBC and think they can trade it and win - they can't.
FACT:
Markets collapse and turn when they are most bullish and rally when they are most bearish - this is nothing to do with the facts but how the investors perceive them.
a Tip for Massive Gains and an Opportunity Right Now
Every time sentiment has pushed it up toward the psychological $100.00 we have sold it - look at our other articles. If you would sold on the last two pops to this level, you will have seen the decline is $20,000 based upon 1 contract.
Its only sentiment that drove prices up - greed and fear drove the market NOT Supply and demand.
A CURRENCY TRADE EXAMPLE
Now let's look at a currency that is overbought and a huge profit to be made.
The euro against the dollar is the trade.
Regular readers again will know that 1.50 is the psychological number that traders want to target.
1.50 is too high just like $100 in crude is. This is simply sentiment driving prices near these levels and the euro will not trade above this level in our view.
The last time it got up we sold (see our other articles) and said it would target 1.46 it did and that's a tidy 600 pips profit.
It's up testing the highs again - but the bad news for the dollar is discounted in the price and its now only greed and fear driving the euro.
All the arguments you here for dollar weakness are discounted:
A 50 bps rate cut, a housing market in trouble, sluggish growth etc and there is no more bad news that's not known.
Now throw into the equation that the euro zone has problems of its own (which traders seem not to bothered about) and you could see a break in the dollars favour.
How far?
We expect the dollar to trade back to 1.46 and if this level gives way target 1.40
The majority don't agree with us (they didn't in crude either) but we won't let that bother us, were sticking with our euro short view to give us another thumping profit.
When looking for extreme bullish or bearish news to break a price always get confirmation of weakening momentum on your forex charts, so you are trading the reality and not getting in to soon.
Will Rogers once said:
"I only believe what I read in the papers"
He was joking but many traders simply take it as gospel when a news story says the dollar is going to fall into oblivion.
Hold your head, look at the facts and if prices gone too far to soon, get ready to trade against the losing herd.
Can you do the above?
Of course you can - it simply means standing back, examining the facts and then looking for trading signals on your forex charts.
This article was written at 8AM Eastern time 15th January
a Tip for Massive Gains and an Opportunity Right Now
Every time sentiment has pushed it up toward the psychological $100.00 we have sold it - look at our other articles. If you would sold on the last two pops to this level, you will have seen the decline is $20,000 based upon 1 contract.
Its only sentiment that drove prices up - greed and fear drove the market NOT Supply and demand.
A CURRENCY TRADE EXAMPLE
Now let's look at a currency that is overbought and a huge profit to be made.
The euro against the dollar is the trade.
Regular readers again will know that 1.50 is the psychological number that traders want to target.
1.50 is too high just like $100 in crude is. This is simply sentiment driving prices near these levels and the euro will not trade above this level in our view.
The last time it got up we sold (see our other articles) and said it would target 1.46 it did and that's a tidy 600 pips profit.
It's up testing the highs again - but the bad news for the dollar is discounted in the price and its now only greed and fear driving the euro.
All the arguments you here for dollar weakness are discounted:
A 50 bps rate cut, a housing market in trouble, sluggish growth etc and there is no more bad news that's not known.
Now throw into the equation that the euro zone has problems of its own (which traders seem not to bothered about) and you could see a break in the dollars favour.
How far?
We expect the dollar to trade back to 1.46 and if this level gives way target 1.40
The majority don't agree with us (they didn't in crude either) but we won't let that bother us, were sticking with our euro short view to give us another thumping profit.
When looking for extreme bullish or bearish news to break a price always get confirmation of weakening momentum on your forex charts, so you are trading the reality and not getting in to soon.
Will Rogers once said:
"I only believe what I read in the papers"
He was joking but many traders simply take it as gospel when a news story says the dollar is going to fall into oblivion.
Hold your head, look at the facts and if prices gone too far to soon, get ready to trade against the losing herd.
Can you do the above?
Of course you can - it simply means standing back, examining the facts and then looking for trading signals on your forex charts.
This article was written at 8AM Eastern time 15th January
How to Trade the Fomc
The FOMC sets the discount rate or federal funds rate and because interest rates are set higher to induce foreign investment and therefore fight inflation during times of prosperity and lower to increase spending during recessions they are one of the main factors influencing the strength of the dollar.
Economic indicators play a huge role in the forex trading especially for traders who approach the market through fundamental analysis and trade the news. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate decision is one of the most influential indicators for the US dollar and you can be sure after the news is released there is going to be volatility in the markets and volatility is what traders thrive on.
I have heard many 'traders' say never to trade the news and especially the FOMC. Although the FOMC interest decision is a news event and can fall under the category of through fundamental analysis I am a technician and I believe that charts always price everything in. However I guarantee the market does not know what exactly the Feds comments and decision will be, therefore it is not priced in yet and this will cause the markets to react when they do find out. This is confirmed by the change in price after the decision and the continuation in the days following.
I have been trading the Fed for eight years now and yes I have been burnt in the past and that is exactly how I have come to learn how to trade it properly. The most common pattern to trade the Fed is the whip-saw. But do not be fearful of it, embrace it. Here is how it happens, first there is a large spike one direction (traders come in and follow that direction)followed by a large spike in the opposite direction (those same traders now sell their first position at a loss and reverse their position - this is when I take a position in the direction of the original move)followed by an extended move back in the direction of the original spike (all the emotional trades are left sick to their stomachs) and I am left holding a very nice position setting myself up to capture a larger than average market move.
If this pattern does not play out exactly as outlined I stand on the sidelines and do not trade at all. Because the markets are moving fast in the period following the FOMC interest rate decision I am watching a very short time frame, mainly the one and five minute charts.
Where to Get the Latest Forex News
Basically, since Fx trading is an online business, the best place to get the latest news is online. There are a number of websites that are dedicated to furnishing traders with the latest trends in the Fx market. For instance, forexdfactory.com and fxnews.com. Depending on the news in certain markets or currencies, one can make decisions to sell or buy if he foresees profit, therefore its important to pay attention to headlines.
If you are new to currency trading, pay particular attention to headlines and the effect of the news on the actual currency transaction. Just observing the trends will help you understand how different events have an influence on currency fluctuations.
You can also get good information from fellow traders through chatting facilities integrated right into various trading platforms. Get on good terms with some of the traders and take note of their opinions and pay attention to new things even though you might not be making any trades at the moment.
Your TV is a very good information source. Of course TV stations like CNN would give latest news to the nearest second. Financial news channels often do an analysis of the currency markets, along with current headlines.
Online discussion groups and forums are also good places to find the latest information in the currency markets as well. Make it a point of duty to participate actively; it helps when you try to contribute as well. Offer any information that you have and the members of the forum will be happy to offer any information they know. Be sure to check out www.expertforextrading.net for other tips and advice or for latest Forex trading information.
Where to Get the Latest Forex News
Basically, since Fx trading is an online business, the best place to get the latest news is online. There are a number of websites that are dedicated to furnishing traders with the latest trends in the Fx market. For instance, forexdfactory.com and fxnews.com. Depending on the news in certain markets or currencies, one can make decisions to sell or buy if he foresees profit, therefore its important to pay attention to headlines.
If you are new to currency trading, pay particular attention to headlines and the effect of the news on the actual currency transaction. Just observing the trends will help you understand how different events have an influence on currency fluctuations.
You can also get good information from fellow traders through chatting facilities integrated right into various trading platforms. Get on good terms with some of the traders and take note of their opinions and pay attention to new things even though you might not be making any trades at the moment.
Your TV is a very good information source. Of course TV stations like CNN would give latest news to the nearest second. Financial news channels often do an analysis of the currency markets, along with current headlines.
Online discussion groups and forums are also good places to find the latest information in the currency markets as well. Make it a point of duty to participate actively; it helps when you try to contribute as well. Offer any information that you have and the members of the forum will be happy to offer any information they know. Be sure to check out www.expertforextrading.net for other tips and advice or for latest Forex trading information.
The Best Forex Broker
We all want to make money trading, so we all need a Great Forex Broker.
Here is how to find a Great Forex Broker
You might find a broker that offers great resources and information to analyze and spot trends in currency trading but can come up short on the software platform side. So it is important to do Some research at the starting so that the relationship you nurture with your broker can be a lasting and paying one. To serve you along here are Many tips on getting a great broker:
1. Forex Broker- Account types - The total of capital you are willing to invest will dictate what type of account you will open with a brokerage. Typically, virtually brokerage firms will offer a "mini" and a "standard" account. As the term involves, a mini account can be opened for as little as $200. This is suitable for the beginner looking to gain experience in trading. However there are cases when trading options such as leveraging can be limited in a mini account. A standard account, on the other hand, offers more options over the mini account but the minimum deposit is also much greater (around $1,000.00).
2. Forex Broker-Platform - The platform is basically the program that you will use to get such information like live quotes, graphs and charts, your exposure, your profit and loss, the margin required, every your open positions with their current profit and loss status and further useful data. A good brokerage will very likely be using sophisticated technology in their platforms so be sure to find out if it is user-friendly at Every. every the buying and selling should be easily done in as little as one click. Many platforms also gives you access to daily analyses in Forex, news reports and Forex signals including support and resistance levels.
3. Forex Broker- Leverage - Leveraged financing is a feature common in Forex trading. It basically means you can use credit in order to maximize your returns. In simpler terms, what you do is you "borrow" your broker's funds temporarily to make larger trades and if all goes well, will produce larger profits. An opportunity So is created to control a $400,000 transaction for as little as a $1,000 actual investment. In this example, the leverage level is x400. An investor should be aware though that if the market turns sour, there is a risk of losing a substantial sum of money, depending on the amount of leverage taken. So it is a serious idea to learn more about leveraging before exposing your investment in the open market.
4. Forex Broker-Spread - Stock brokers make their money in commissioning, Forex brokers make theirs done the spread. A spread is the difference between buy and sell--the price at which a currency can be bought and the price at which they can be sold at any given time. To the investor, a smaller spread logically means that there is a higher profit potential. There are 2 types of spread--fixed and various. Fixed spreads remain the same throughout the day. various spreads change according to market conditions. A active market must react considerably in your favor before you can turn a profit. Spread also alters from account types. A mini account typically charges a higher spread than a standard account. A potential trader should So know the spread of Every broker before settling at a decision to sign up.
5. Forex Broker-Technical support - Obviously, support should be considered such as when the software becomes faulty or when questions arise regarding certain transactions. Quick acting support reflects positively on a broker and you can even try this by contacting them with pre-sale questions.
6. Forex Broker- Demo account - Before putting any weight on any of the items mentioned above, a beginner should always look for a broker that offers a demo or trial account. Not Every brokers offer demo accounts. A demo account will allow you to trade in "play" money so that any losses you incur do not count against your investment. Needless to say, you do not make any money either if you turn a profit in your demo account.
It is there only to get a beginner acclimated to the different Forex conditions. While this may be Many of the almost important points to consider when looking for a Forex broker, there are Many "little things" that may crop up while doing your search such as unique promotions or great offers. However there is enough data in the foregoing to provide you with a basis for judging whether Many offers are above board or not.
There is nothing to stop you from signing up with different brokers and to take advantage of whatever great offers they may have on the table. Exercising Many due diligence at the start will prevent a lot of heartache later on. A good Forex broker should be able to serve you become more successful in your trading. Make sure you use a Great Forex Broker and make your Forex trading a profitable one.
Now CFD FX Report has recently taken a researched all the Forex Brokers and CFD Brokers in the market and they have selected the Best Forex Brokers and CFD Brokers in the market. So we have helped thousands of traders take the guesswork out of choosing the best broker. To find out more and see why all the EXPERTS USE the CFD FX REPORT visit today. There are hundreds of free education lessons available.
The Best Forex Broker
We all want to make money trading, so we all need a Great Forex Broker.
Here is how to find a Great Forex Broker
You might find a broker that offers great resources and information to analyze and spot trends in currency trading but can come up short on the software platform side. So it is important to do Some research at the starting so that the relationship you nurture with your broker can be a lasting and paying one. To serve you along here are Many tips on getting a great broker:
1. Forex Broker- Account types - The total of capital you are willing to invest will dictate what type of account you will open with a brokerage. Typically, virtually brokerage firms will offer a "mini" and a "standard" account. As the term involves, a mini account can be opened for as little as $200. This is suitable for the beginner looking to gain experience in trading. However there are cases when trading options such as leveraging can be limited in a mini account. A standard account, on the other hand, offers more options over the mini account but the minimum deposit is also much greater (around $1,000.00).
2. Forex Broker-Platform - The platform is basically the program that you will use to get such information like live quotes, graphs and charts, your exposure, your profit and loss, the margin required, every your open positions with their current profit and loss status and further useful data. A good brokerage will very likely be using sophisticated technology in their platforms so be sure to find out if it is user-friendly at Every. every the buying and selling should be easily done in as little as one click. Many platforms also gives you access to daily analyses in Forex, news reports and Forex signals including support and resistance levels.
3. Forex Broker- Leverage - Leveraged financing is a feature common in Forex trading. It basically means you can use credit in order to maximize your returns. In simpler terms, what you do is you "borrow" your broker's funds temporarily to make larger trades and if all goes well, will produce larger profits. An opportunity So is created to control a $400,000 transaction for as little as a $1,000 actual investment. In this example, the leverage level is x400. An investor should be aware though that if the market turns sour, there is a risk of losing a substantial sum of money, depending on the amount of leverage taken. So it is a serious idea to learn more about leveraging before exposing your investment in the open market.
4. Forex Broker-Spread - Stock brokers make their money in commissioning, Forex brokers make theirs done the spread. A spread is the difference between buy and sell--the price at which a currency can be bought and the price at which they can be sold at any given time. To the investor, a smaller spread logically means that there is a higher profit potential. There are 2 types of spread--fixed and various. Fixed spreads remain the same throughout the day. various spreads change according to market conditions. A active market must react considerably in your favor before you can turn a profit. Spread also alters from account types. A mini account typically charges a higher spread than a standard account. A potential trader should So know the spread of Every broker before settling at a decision to sign up.
5. Forex Broker-Technical support - Obviously, support should be considered such as when the software becomes faulty or when questions arise regarding certain transactions. Quick acting support reflects positively on a broker and you can even try this by contacting them with pre-sale questions.
6. Forex Broker- Demo account - Before putting any weight on any of the items mentioned above, a beginner should always look for a broker that offers a demo or trial account. Not Every brokers offer demo accounts. A demo account will allow you to trade in "play" money so that any losses you incur do not count against your investment. Needless to say, you do not make any money either if you turn a profit in your demo account.
It is there only to get a beginner acclimated to the different Forex conditions. While this may be Many of the almost important points to consider when looking for a Forex broker, there are Many "little things" that may crop up while doing your search such as unique promotions or great offers. However there is enough data in the foregoing to provide you with a basis for judging whether Many offers are above board or not.
There is nothing to stop you from signing up with different brokers and to take advantage of whatever great offers they may have on the table. Exercising Many due diligence at the start will prevent a lot of heartache later on. A good Forex broker should be able to serve you become more successful in your trading. Make sure you use a Great Forex Broker and make your Forex trading a profitable one.
Now CFD FX Report has recently taken a researched all the Forex Brokers and CFD Brokers in the market and they have selected the Best Forex Brokers and CFD Brokers in the market. So we have helped thousands of traders take the guesswork out of choosing the best broker. To find out more and see why all the EXPERTS USE the CFD FX REPORT visit today. There are hundreds of free education lessons available.
Trading Forex News
It is believed that occurrences and events in the market affect crowd sentiments. The fact that crowd sentiments move the market substantially makes it an indicator of trends. Traders who are aware of this, capitalizes on such movements in the forex market. There are traders who depend chiefly on speculating the trends based on the crowd's sentiments. Crowd sentiments, at the same time, are driven by what they see in the news whether consciously or unconsciously. Taking advantage of such knowledge can signal a trader to enter or exit a trade.
The goal in trading forex news is to analyze how the market sways based on the movements of the crowd. There are tools used in interpreting forex news. The important thing is that if you are going to use this strategy in trading, you have to stick to the system in order for it to succeed.
Signals and indicators are important in currency trading. One of these indicators is economic news itself. To ensure that you are making the most out of this free indicator, you have to get the right knowledge on how to analyze market trends. Most traders tend to ignore crowd sentiments and instead focus on traditional techniques and fundamentals. This entirely keeps you away from a wide range of trading opportunities that you have not thought of before.
Trading Forex News
It is believed that occurrences and events in the market affect crowd sentiments. The fact that crowd sentiments move the market substantially makes it an indicator of trends. Traders who are aware of this, capitalizes on such movements in the forex market. There are traders who depend chiefly on speculating the trends based on the crowd's sentiments. Crowd sentiments, at the same time, are driven by what they see in the news whether consciously or unconsciously. Taking advantage of such knowledge can signal a trader to enter or exit a trade.
The goal in trading forex news is to analyze how the market sways based on the movements of the crowd. There are tools used in interpreting forex news. The important thing is that if you are going to use this strategy in trading, you have to stick to the system in order for it to succeed.
Signals and indicators are important in currency trading. One of these indicators is economic news itself. To ensure that you are making the most out of this free indicator, you have to get the right knowledge on how to analyze market trends. Most traders tend to ignore crowd sentiments and instead focus on traditional techniques and fundamentals. This entirely keeps you away from a wide range of trading opportunities that you have not thought of before.
Hot Forex News - Be the First One to Know
The Standard Bank in London has stated that the fund Forex investments in commodities will lower, but there is good news in pension and mutual funds where Forex increase is presumed. The hot Forex news regarding the Forex interest rates in the United States of America refers to the fact that the fall in the unemployment here is determining this increase in the interest rates.
The HSBC is seeking for new Forex businesses in the United Kingdom, the prize reaching almost $5,000. This contest is named the Start-up stars and it is aiming at finding and rewarding Forex business that is at the beginning of their road in this field. Although this a contest that is destined exclusively to the businesses constructed in the UK, there are chances that this idea will be applied to other countries too.
The winner is supposed to combine creativity and a lot of skill in practicing Forex trading, which will definitely ensure a prosperous life for the company or business he/she is a part of. The participants have to be on the market for at least three years, but the rules of the competition do not require that the participants bank with HSBC. In 2006, Club Asia won the big prize, a radio station from London that, within a few years, became the commercial radio station in the UK that knew the higher success.
The hot Forex news of the moment has as the main character the dollar that has become much stronger that its rivals. This has happened due to the manufacturing report that was much stronger that it has been foresaw, which created a strong relief among those who were worried about the US economy and the Federal interest rate.
The recovery of the dollar is caused especially by the thin Forex trading during and shortly after the Labor Day. But this does not mean that the market will not focus anymore as carefully as before on the employment development. On the contrary, their focus will remain as doubtful as always.
FOREX trading tips: Online Currency
Who Else Wants Up-To-Date Forex News
Forex news understands how important Wall Street really is and because of that they have included that currency market in an easy to use toolbar. Other features on the net, includes news and analysis regarding your traded compiled at all times of the day. The easy to use systems can also provide audio so that you can set the computer to rattle off the day's information leaving you free to tend to other issues. Vital announcements are also readily available, allowing for lightning fast reaction to news, and not just any news, but forex news. Another feature of the site is the "articles and ideas" section to help kick-start that brain of yours to think outside the box, and there is an insights portion which will link you to an industry professional's view on future market trends.
The global calendar allows for fluctuations in the market to be monitored and interpreted by the consumer. Forex news doesn't just simply regurgitate information; it dissects crucial material in the marketplace and hands it to the traders on an easy to use web site. This handy guide, channels imperative reports on the current week and gives a snapshot view of key economic events happening in the country as well as worldwide. From stocks, to home investment news, forex news has got what you need.
Some forex news features that have been now added to the site include: threaded forum, classic thread, and Forex chat. These have been included to help the user to receive all the know-how and expertise needed in our ever growing and changing financial world. Today's financial analysts are looking for the best edge in order to contend against growing competition, and now you have to look no further. Forex news will provide all of the information you need and more
Real Time Forex News Alerts For Major Currencies
The Japanese Yen recently lost track of the movements of the over risky assets. It has shown no significant movement even though the price changes in over a week. Real time forex news alerts is still wondering on how long the Japanese yen will last. Their domestic spending is showing very little movement. Both consumer and business confidence shows no sign of improvement. Some good news shows capital spending on safe investments that has at least break even results.
Euro, on the other hand, is showing promising signs of slight improvement. Though, there is no clear picture of the improvements, some would imply that it will come from stabilizing the Euro. This is a small step up if one is to consider the broader Euro zone. Business and consumer sentiment is still said to be bleak. The eyes are still focused on the financial market, whether they are to take the risks or not. Real time forex news alerts are sure to be hanging on to any news for Euro.
Swiss francs surprised real time forex news alerts when it emerged as the 'best performing major currency'. When inflation was controlled to nearly no movement, the consumer confidence was heightened. Although, their unemployment also reached a three-year high. Their export market slowed down, especially in US and Europe, so it is just a matter of time that their trading terms to hit low.
The New Zealand dollar is showing poor growth, but is hopeful that it can persuade the risk appetite. If they can persuade their markets' risk appetite they can stop the currency exchange rate from falling, which hit its seven-year low last week. Another blow was received as the retail industry hit record -low as consumers cut back on entertainment, so is true with South Pacific countries as well.
US dollar is keeping real time forex news alerts amazed. With their government's efforts to boost their consumer confidence, it has been showing more positive outlook on its way out of recession. There may have been downbeat like the consumer confidence drop and the unexpected jobless claims of about 623,000. The Obama administration is gathering up consumer confidence with the passing of his Stimulus bill. This is expected to boost the consumer and business confidence. All the other currencies are watching the movement of US dollar because of it.
As of this month, real time forex news alerts show interest rate for US dollar and GBP slightly went up. Euro, Japanese Yen and NZ dollar showed very little decline. Other major currency stayed the same.
Real Time Forex News Alerts For Major Currencies
The Japanese Yen recently lost track of the movements of the over risky assets. It has shown no significant movement even though the price changes in over a week. Real time forex news alerts is still wondering on how long the Japanese yen will last. Their domestic spending is showing very little movement. Both consumer and business confidence shows no sign of improvement. Some good news shows capital spending on safe investments that has at least break even results.
Euro, on the other hand, is showing promising signs of slight improvement. Though, there is no clear picture of the improvements, some would imply that it will come from stabilizing the Euro. This is a small step up if one is to consider the broader Euro zone. Business and consumer sentiment is still said to be bleak. The eyes are still focused on the financial market, whether they are to take the risks or not. Real time forex news alerts are sure to be hanging on to any news for Euro.
Swiss francs surprised real time forex news alerts when it emerged as the 'best performing major currency'. When inflation was controlled to nearly no movement, the consumer confidence was heightened. Although, their unemployment also reached a three-year high. Their export market slowed down, especially in US and Europe, so it is just a matter of time that their trading terms to hit low.
The New Zealand dollar is showing poor growth, but is hopeful that it can persuade the risk appetite. If they can persuade their markets' risk appetite they can stop the currency exchange rate from falling, which hit its seven-year low last week. Another blow was received as the retail industry hit record -low as consumers cut back on entertainment, so is true with South Pacific countries as well.
US dollar is keeping real time forex news alerts amazed. With their government's efforts to boost their consumer confidence, it has been showing more positive outlook on its way out of recession. There may have been downbeat like the consumer confidence drop and the unexpected jobless claims of about 623,000. The Obama administration is gathering up consumer confidence with the passing of his Stimulus bill. This is expected to boost the consumer and business confidence. All the other currencies are watching the movement of US dollar because of it.
As of this month, real time forex news alerts show interest rate for US dollar and GBP slightly went up. Euro, Japanese Yen and NZ dollar showed very little decline. Other major currency stayed the same.
Why Most Traders Use it in the Wrong Way and Lose
First let's look at a simple equation:
Forex Fundamentals (supply and demand news) + Investor Psychology = Price
The facts are there for all of us to see but assessing the impact of the news is hard because humans (millions of them) all motivated differently see the facts but they all draw their own personal conclusions from them and that's the price.
If it were easy to trade by following the news then there would be a lot more winners than there actually are. Will Rogers once said:
"I only believe what I see in the papers"
Of course he was making a joke but I am amazed by how many traders think that because a story appears on Reuters or another newswire, they can trade it - you can't.
The fact is that humans always push prices top far up or down, as their emotions come into play and most major tops are formed when the news is most bullish and vice versa in a bear market.
It's a fact that prices generally move in line with the long term fundamentals but prices spike to far from fair value up or down along the way and history shows us these spikes don't last.
You can spot them easily on a forex chart and trade them for profit.
There is a well know saying:
"If you can hold onto your head when everyone around you is losing theirs, you probably haven't heard the news"
In forex trading this means you sit back in a detached fashion and look at your forex charts and when you see a price spike you start to question the news.
For example - the euro spiked to 1.50 recently and everyone said that the dollar was finished - yet its rallied and will probably rally further.
Why?
Because all the news stories have been discounted: Interest rate cuts, the sub prime mortgage crisis, the US will slip into recession etc and things can only get better and people also didn't pay attention to GDP which is robust.
The dollar was simply oversold and rallied, when the news was at its most bearish.
This doesn't just happen in forex, it happens in any market.
I read a great story about oil going to $160.00 dollars a barrel and that $100.00 a barrel was sustainable.
Well - there is no shortage of oil.
Global demand is actually falling and the true value of oil is in the $70 - 80 region. When people said $100 a barrel was a forgone conclusion - it was time to sell.
The fact is we are not creatures of logic, we are creatures of emotion.
How The Worlds News Effects Currencies
Financial News
Here we are listing some of latest news that has happened in and around the forex industry and will impact your business as well in some ways. Remember that Foreign exchange currencies are always paired so you will need to receive relevant news about the comparison of two different currencies or commodities. Some examples of relevant news that would have an impact on various currencies around the globe would be;
-A recent story reported that retail traders had just tipped to a net short positioning on the same day that the British pound gained a 200 point plus rally.
-Forex traders watch the U.S. housing slump very carefully, gauging the market for mortgage futures.
-When the U.S. Fed made its recent rate cut, one Forex news service reported that expectations for the U.S. Dollar were "falling like a rock."
-Recession fears in the United States may drive the dollar even lower than it already is. (In Forex trading, the fact that the dollar drops is not considered negative, as long as the trader leverages the drop when trading for higher priced, more valuable currencies around the glove.
Political News
Most people are under the wrong impression that currency and finance news are the only things that interests any forex trade, yet political news is very important as well as they can give you hint of the political movement of different nations and their where their country is headed. You need to make sure that you follow the trend that goes throughout the world.
Currency and financial news are not the only news stories of interest to Forex investors and traders. Forex traders are also interested in political news that can have an impact on a country's currency.
-Tragic events like the assassination of a political leader can affect currency futures in the country where the event occurs and can have a ripple effect in surrounding areas; for example, the assassination of Benazir Bhutto in Pakistan.
-Natural disasters like an earthquake, hurricane, or typhoon can consume a great deal of a country's resources; therefore, Forex traders watch news of such disasters.
-Political events, like the U.S. presidential election cycle, has significant effects on currency valuation; therefore, Forex news contains updates on presidential candidates, primary elections, and general elections.
News Analysis
Forex news services add value to the news stories they provide by analyzing current events and predicting how they will affect the exchange rates of various currencies around the globe.
How The Worlds News Effects Currencies
Financial News
Here we are listing some of latest news that has happened in and around the forex industry and will impact your business as well in some ways. Remember that Foreign exchange currencies are always paired so you will need to receive relevant news about the comparison of two different currencies or commodities. Some examples of relevant news that would have an impact on various currencies around the globe would be;
-A recent story reported that retail traders had just tipped to a net short positioning on the same day that the British pound gained a 200 point plus rally.
-Forex traders watch the U.S. housing slump very carefully, gauging the market for mortgage futures.
-When the U.S. Fed made its recent rate cut, one Forex news service reported that expectations for the U.S. Dollar were "falling like a rock."
-Recession fears in the United States may drive the dollar even lower than it already is. (In Forex trading, the fact that the dollar drops is not considered negative, as long as the trader leverages the drop when trading for higher priced, more valuable currencies around the glove.
Political News
Most people are under the wrong impression that currency and finance news are the only things that interests any forex trade, yet political news is very important as well as they can give you hint of the political movement of different nations and their where their country is headed. You need to make sure that you follow the trend that goes throughout the world.
Currency and financial news are not the only news stories of interest to Forex investors and traders. Forex traders are also interested in political news that can have an impact on a country's currency.
-Tragic events like the assassination of a political leader can affect currency futures in the country where the event occurs and can have a ripple effect in surrounding areas; for example, the assassination of Benazir Bhutto in Pakistan.
-Natural disasters like an earthquake, hurricane, or typhoon can consume a great deal of a country's resources; therefore, Forex traders watch news of such disasters.
-Political events, like the U.S. presidential election cycle, has significant effects on currency valuation; therefore, Forex news contains updates on presidential candidates, primary elections, and general elections.
News Analysis
Forex news services add value to the news stories they provide by analyzing current events and predicting how they will affect the exchange rates of various currencies around the globe.
Discover the Secrets
Through the use of the Internet, you can discover the well-kept secrets to becoming a successful Forex trader, making you earn not just a healthy income, but a robust profit, if you dare. The first thing you have to do, of course, is to read up on the subject so you can be better informed and thus, make better money-making decisions. You have to read articles related to Forex news.
One of the most important things that you have to understand is that there are a number of factors that affect foreign currency trading. Ultimately, currency prices in the Forex market are dictated by the result of supply and demand forces, as with any other market in the world. However, in order to make sense of patterns, you'll do well to consider several factors, including economic issues and political conditions. Being regularly updated on Forex news is vital to your success as a foreign currency trader.
The economic factors include economic policies embraced by one country and disseminated by agencies of a government and its central banks, economic conditions, which are manifested through economic reports, and other economic indicators. The most important of these factors is economic policy. This encompasses a government fiscal policy, which pertains to the budget or spending practices of an entire nation, and monetary policy, through which a government's central bank influences the cost and supply of money, which is then reflected by the rise or fall of interest rates. Economic conditions, on the other hand, include everything from the way the government budget deficits of surpluses, inflation levels and trends, the balance of trade levels and trends, and the overall economic growth and health of a country. You can find Forex news about global economics in the news, whether on a cable television channel or in a section of a newspaper.
The political factors include internal, regional, and international political conditions and events that can have a significant effect on currency markets and one country's currency value. The most common example of this is political upheaval and instability, manifested by strong and constant protests out in the streets against a government. The presence of this kind of activity creates a negative impact on a nation's economy, resulting to a fall in the value of its currency.
Now you know how important it is to tune in to Forex news. Keep yourself updated and you're sure to be ten steps ahead in becoming a successful foreign currency trader.
How Can it Effect Currency Trading?
Financial News
Just to give you a few examples that are interesting from recent Forex news stories that FX day traders have encountered. Forex currencies are always traded in a pairs type of situation, so stories typically refer to two different currencies. These forex news stories directly are correlated to finance and currency.
- A recent story that indicated that traders had just tipped to a net short position right on the same day that the British pound increased to a 200 plus point rally.
- Forex trader carefully monitors the U.S. housing slump, trying to estimate the market for the mortgage futures.
- When the United States federal reserve made it's latest rate cut, one Forex news service indicated that the overall expectations for the U.S. Dollar were "falling like a rock".
- Fears of a recession within the United States might drive the
US dollar even lower than it already it is. (In Forex tradig, the reality that the dollar falls is not thought of as a negative, provided that the trader leverages the fall when making a trade for higher priced, higher value currencies around the world).
Political News
Financial and currency news are not just the only stories of news of interests to Forex traders as well as investors. Forex traders also have a lot of interest in political news that may have an impact on different countries currencies.
- Events that are tragic such as a political leader getting assassinated can effect the currency futures in the nation where the events happen and can also have a trickle down effect to the surrounding areas; for instance, the assassination of Benazir Bhutto in Pakistan.
- Disasters of the natural kind, such as a hurricane or typhoon or even an earthquake has the capability of consuming a great deal of a nations resources. Hence, Forex traders watch news of these types of natural disasters.
- Political events, such as the U.S. presidential election cycle has substantial consequences on the valuation of currency; hence, Forex news incorporates updates on presidential candidates, general elections, primary elections.
How Can it Effect Currency Trading?
Financial News
Just to give you a few examples that are interesting from recent Forex news stories that FX day traders have encountered. Forex currencies are always traded in a pairs type of situation, so stories typically refer to two different currencies. These forex news stories directly are correlated to finance and currency.
- A recent story that indicated that traders had just tipped to a net short position right on the same day that the British pound increased to a 200 plus point rally.
- Forex trader carefully monitors the U.S. housing slump, trying to estimate the market for the mortgage futures.
- When the United States federal reserve made it's latest rate cut, one Forex news service indicated that the overall expectations for the U.S. Dollar were "falling like a rock".
- Fears of a recession within the United States might drive the
US dollar even lower than it already it is. (In Forex tradig, the reality that the dollar falls is not thought of as a negative, provided that the trader leverages the fall when making a trade for higher priced, higher value currencies around the world).
Political News
Financial and currency news are not just the only stories of news of interests to Forex traders as well as investors. Forex traders also have a lot of interest in political news that may have an impact on different countries currencies.
- Events that are tragic such as a political leader getting assassinated can effect the currency futures in the nation where the events happen and can also have a trickle down effect to the surrounding areas; for instance, the assassination of Benazir Bhutto in Pakistan.
- Disasters of the natural kind, such as a hurricane or typhoon or even an earthquake has the capability of consuming a great deal of a nations resources. Hence, Forex traders watch news of these types of natural disasters.
- Political events, such as the U.S. presidential election cycle has substantial consequences on the valuation of currency; hence, Forex news incorporates updates on presidential candidates, general elections, primary elections.
Forex News and Research
But understanding the gigantic Forex market is not easy. There is no central marketplace for currency exchange and this enormous currency market is open 24 hours a day every business day, with currencies being traded between every major worldwide financial centers. How do you make incredible profits in Forex rather that falling in with the 95% of traders who do not? By relying on solid Forex market research, currency news and solid analysis rather than by instinct or gut feeling.
Forex News and Research
But understanding the gigantic Forex market is not easy. There is no central marketplace for currency exchange and this enormous currency market is open 24 hours a day every business day, with currencies being traded between every major worldwide financial centers. How do you make incredible profits in Forex rather that falling in with the 95% of traders who do not? By relying on solid Forex market research, currency news and solid analysis rather than by instinct or gut feeling.
Sunday, July 26, 2009
Forex gain puts Jet in profit route.(Financial report)
Revenues were up nearly 20 percent to Rs 1,983 crore. Domestic revenues accounted for 76 percent of the airline's operating revenues compared with 87 percent earlier. The management has indicated that prospects for the next two quarters will remain challenging because of a huge fleet expansion and new flights on long haul international routes.
The Jet shares fell 3.15 percent to Rs 700. To part finance the aircraft acquisition, Jet will make a rights issue of $400 million in...
Read the rest of this article with a Free Trial at HighBeam Research.
Smarter forex regulation
In contrast, in spot forex the price of any given cunency pair on a trading platform, is what the firm wants you to see. Spot forex is a negotiated market with a stipulated bid and ask price. The buyer pays the ask price and the seller pays the bid price. But how the bid and ask is arrived at is decided by the particular forex firm that you are trading with. The spread shown between the bid and ask of the currency pair represents an algorithm averaging the bids and asks of different banks, which is then widened by the forex firm based on how much of the spread it wants to keep.
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The question of what the price of a currency pair is therefore always imprecise. This price ambiguity also reflects an enduring feature of the retail forex trading industry: the essential characteristic that one is trading against the firm. It therefore makes sense to examine the forex firms that populate the current market. What are their financial conditions? What does a beginning trader need to know about how to choose a firm? Does the current regulatory environment provide the customer the needed information?
The Commodity Exchange Act empowering the Commodity Futures Trading Committee (CFTC) provides in its purpose section that one of the missions of the regulators is to promote financially secure trading facilities. Also, in a recent speech to the Federation of European Securities Commissions, CFTC Acting Chairman Walter Lukken said the policy direction of the CFTC was characterized as adhering to a "smart regulatory" concept, which in his words, "seeks to promote the adoption of regulations that are effective, less costly and tailored to specific risks and societal outcomes. The smart regulation approach does not necessarily mean more regulation or less regulation."
The CFTC requires that a trading firm, including forex firms, report their net capital. The forex trader has an ability to gain insight into the financial stability of the firms. This list can be found at www.cftc.gov/files/tm/fcm/tmfcm data0704.pdf. It provides a reporting of the actual amount of capital a forex firm has and how much excess capital there is above the CFTC imposed minimum, which is $1 million, $5 million if the firms are trading options.
The CFTC report tells you which firms operate on the margins and which firms are relatively stable. Firms having less than $1 million in excess capital certainty are driving towards the red zone. If a regulatory problem is detected, or a fine occurs, these firms will be vulnerable to a flight of capital. Perhaps more important, when firms operate narrowly above the net capital requirements, sales staffs may be pressured to open more marginal customer accounts.
The CFTC, while still struggling over the breadth of their authority in forex, could do more to protect the forex trading customer. For example, an important measure of a firm's health, not directly available to the public, is the size of the customer base at a forex firm. It would be invaluable for a trader to know the average account size and the mid-point account size of a firm. Two firms with an equal amount of capital but different size accounts generate a very different message to a potential trader.
If the net capital requirements increase beyond $1 million, smaller firms will face insurmountable barriers to entry. The goal of the regulators, of course, has been to make it harder for the unscrupulous forex firm owner to be in the industry. Yet, by increasing the net capital requirements, it also makes it harder for start-up companies to enter and favors the existing larger futures commission merchants (FCM). As net capital requirements increase, more futures FCM's, which are already regulated and have larger capital assets, will start offering more spot forex. They can avoid the initial hurdles of the high net capital requirements. Ultimately, equity firms will consider spot forex as an alternative service product line.
In choosing a forex firm it is worthwhile to look beyond the advertising sizzle. The next time you choose to open an account at any firm ask these questions: How many retail forex accounts are at the firm? What is the average size account at your firm? What percentage of accounts are above $25,000? Are sales staff paid a salary or part of the spread? If the responses are vague or unavailable, consider another firm. The bottom line is that trading forex is challenging enough without costly add-ons. A rule that would require reporting not only the net capital a forex firm has but the number of accounts and its distribution by size would help new traders in their due diligence. It would further the public interest by making the financial stability of forex trading firms more transparent.
Tenaga's worries
UTILITY PROVIDER TENAGA Nasional Bhd foresees better earnings for its current financial year as demand for electricity has started to pick up.
Though profits may be lower than that for financial year (FY) 2008, president and CEO Datuk Seri Che Khalib Mohamad Noh is confident they will not be very much lower.
`We should still be able to record a reasonably healthy profit but obviously lower than that of 2008. But we don't think we will fare badly compared to 2008 because when the demand for electricity came down, we immediately implemented what we call Operations Trim X, a programme introduced across the organisation to trim excesses, wastage and unnecessary costs,' he says.
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Tenaga posted a net profit of RM2.6 billion for FY2008 compared to RM4.068 billion for FY2007. The dip in electricity demand was felt particularly during second quarter 2008, ie, from November to February, when industrial demand dropped due to the festive and year-end holidays as well as the global economic slowdown.
However, demand started to pick up in March this year and Che Khalib expects it to be sustained. Tenaga currently faces a demand reduction from Peninsular Malaysia by about 3.2%.
`In terms of revenue, of course it will be higher because of the tariff increase that came in July 2008. But we believe that in terms of units sold, it will be reduced compared to 2008, but will not go lower than 3.2%. If we are lucky, it will even be closer to the 2008 numbers,' he tells Malaysian Business.
Tenaga turned in a net profit of RM674.6 million for its second quarter ended Feb 28, 2009 - a fall compared to the RM1,063.2 million recorded in the previous corresponding period, but a surge over the loss of RM944.1 million suffered in the first quarter.
For the first half ended Feb 28, 2009, Tenaga posted a net loss of RM269.5 million, compared to a net profit of RM2.578 billion in the previous corresponding period. Operating profit was RM2,051.7 million, compared to RM2,780.4 million in the previous corresponding period.
It recorded a foreign exchange (forex) translation loss of RM1,536.7 million for its first half 2009, compared to a RM522.8 million gain in the previous corresponding period.
Che Khalib says forex translation is another major concern for Tenaga apart from demand for electricity. Of its total debt, which is close to RM23 billion, 27.5% is made up of US$-denominated loans, 22.8% yen- denominated and the rest in ringgit.
Tenaga is trying to retire all its US$-denominated bonds. `It will take some time to address this problem. In future, our loans will all be in ringgit,' he says.
Research houses also expect stronger performance from Tenaga in its second half ending Aug 31, 2009. Standard & Poor's (S&P) forecasts a 2% rebound for Tenaga for FY2010 on the back of a gradual recovery in the global economy.
`We also assume that the government will adopt a more sympathetic stance toward Tenaga with an electricity tariff review now being performed on a half-yearly basis to adjust for changes in Tenaga's operating costs,' S&P said in a recent note.
S&P has upgraded its recommendation on Tenaga to a `buy' from `hold' and raised its 12-month target price for the stock to RM7.50 from RM6.50 on an improved earnings outlook.
`Coal prices are expected to remain relatively benign after coming off from the all-time high in 2008 as a result of the global economic downturn. The change in generation mix toward gas-fired plants also helped to enhance Tenaga's operational margins,' said S&P, which estimates Tenaga's 2009 price-earnings (PE) at 20.6x.
OSK Research also expects a stronger second half for Tenaga following the fall in coal costs. Apart from that, `the full effect of the reduction in gas prices from RM14.31 per mmBTU to RM10.70 per mmBTU will also be felt from the third quarter onwards. With the strengthening ringgit, we expect Tenaga to record forex gains going forward,' it said in a research note.
OSK's longer term discounted cash flow fair value, however, is unchanged at RM8.40. Its 2009 PE forecast for Tenaga is 11x and it maintains its `buy' call on the stock.
Going forward, Che Khalib says Tenaga will continue to look for opportunities in the power sector abroad. He says equipped with the right people now, Tenaga is ready to face challenges arising on the international scene.
The utility giant has been busy with projects in the Middle East, particularly Saudi Arabia. Among them is a power plant in Jeddah, which is about 95% completed and expected to come on stream by the middle of this year. Tenaga's investment in the US$82.2 million project is through consortium Saudi-Malaysia Water and Electricity Company Ltd.
Tenaga is actively looking for opportunities to bid for more projects in the Middle East and has established a working cooperation with the bin Laden Group to look at power plant opportunities in the region. It is also working with a company in Saudi Arabia to set up a training centre there.
The art of the trade; what I learned by trading the Chicago futures markets
Jankovsky, Jason Alan.
John Wiley & Sons
2008
183 pages
$29.95
Hardcover
HG172
In a timely treatment given the shenanigans that have undone the stock market recently, a veteran Chicago broker offers an insider's view of the Chicago futures and options industry. Jankovsky expresses hope that the market will, like him, learn some hardwon lessons. Per the Web, he promotes FOREX automated technical analysis and trading software, which is mentioned briefly in the book. This is an updated edition of Dancing with Lions, published under the pseudonym Trader X.
MEDIA ALERT: Regular Investors Can Use Professional Traders' Techniques to Know When Recovery Starts -- and What to Do About It
"Traders, especially currency traders, watch key economic indicators, since economic trends drive currency trading strategies," says Wayne McDonell , a registered Commodities Trading Advisor, Chief Currency Coach of FX Bootcamp ( www.fxbootcamp.com ), a live forex training organization, and author of "The FX Bootcamp Guide to Strategic and Tactical Forex Trading" (Wiley Trading, September 2008).
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"Investors can use the same indicators for early signs that the economy is beginning to recover," Mr. McDonell says. "Right now, they show that the current rally will fade and the recovery hasn't started -- although we may be near the bottom."
Mr. McDonell is available for interviews and can discuss what the indicators are, what they show, and what investors should watch for:
The Volatility Index (VIX) measures optimism versus fear in the market. VIX is based on data collected by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). It gives traders a better understanding of investor sentiment and serves as an early warning sign of possible reversals in the market. What it shows now: "The VIX normally goes up to 40 when times are bad, but during the worst of the current downturn, it went to 90," Mr. McDonell says. "We are currently back around 50 -- but for the picture to look good, it needs to go lower -- to around 25 or 30." "In other words, according to the VIX, the current market rally doesn't mean we've hit bottom," he says. What investors should watch for: Volatility hurts mutual funds in particular, "there will be no long term reversal until mutual fund money is back in the game," he says.
The TED Spread shows the difference between the interest rates on interbank loans and short-term U.S. government debt (T-bills). The interbank loan rate used is the London Interbank Offered Rate or LIBOR. "The TED spread is an indicator of perceived credit risk in the general economy," Mr. McDonell explains. "When the TED spread increases -- when the interbank rate is higher than the T-bill rate -- that's a sign that lenders believe the risk of default on interbank loans is increasing; a decrease in bank defaults lowers the LIBOR and results in the decrease of TED spread." The long-term average TED spread is 30 basis points (3/10 of 1 percent), with a normal high of 50 basis points. What it shows now: In October 2008, as the credit crisis spread, banks were afraid of each other, and the TED spread hit an all-time high of 465 basis points, reflecting high interest rates and an almost total shutdown in interbank lending. Since then, the U.S. Federal Reserve has helped bring the TED spread down by direct support for banks and by encouraging interbank lending. But interest rates on T-bills remain low and have been driven lower by the Fed's $300 billion purchase of 10-year notes, reducing the TED spread below 100 for the first time since the crisis began. There is still room for improvement. What investors should watch for: The TED spread needs to get lower. This will happen as credit markets continue to thaw, and as Treasury yields rise when investors begin to sell their Treasury positions to move money back into the stock market.
The Yield Curve shows the interest that investors can expect from Treasuries over time. A normal curve goes up sharply for short-term T-bills, then levels off more gradually since the yield for medium- and long-term T-notes should stay relatively level, rising only very slowly from the 5-year to the 30-year note. A healthy yield curve starts low with 3-month returns and slopes upward as time to maturity increases all the way up to a 30-year bond. What it shows now: The current Yield Curve is misshapen with a dip in the middle because the Fed's massive purchase of 10-year T-bills drove yields down (interest rates on bonds go down as prices rise). Overall yields are low because of the demand for Treasuries as investors seek shelter from the risks of the stock market. The Fed's actions have flattened the yield curve. What investors should watch for: A return to a normal Yield Curve as money begins to flow back into the stock market and out of Treasuries. Heavy selling of Treasuries will bring interest rates back to normal levels.
Other Signs to Watch
Mr. McDonell advises investors to watch for these additional signs of recovery:
The USD and the JPY falling. The stock market rallying and Treasuries crashing. Gold rising, along with the AUD. (Australia is rich in commodities and will benefit from a mini-commodities boom.)
"Those will be signs that the U.S. economy has hit bottom and investors are moving overseas," Mr. McDonell says. "At that point, smart U.S. equity investors should look to get back into the game."